Predictions and forecasts of possible futures, even when based on the latest research or invention can sometimes appear ludicrous. Past predictions can often seem laughable for appearing to be so incorrect, but although they may not have come to fruition as expected, there are elements of many past predictions that were pointing to an appropriate field, if not a specific device or activity.
Twine has become open to the public – the feed tool has been in beta for a year in the past has pointed me to a number of sites and images that have caused me to want to post some reflection. Today is no different.
Listening to the MP3 of a LongNow seminar given by Forcaster Paul Saffo, he explains that the best, indeed the only tool for forcasting is a mirror. A way of looking at history to make informed explorations of the future. In particular, he suggests looking for inflection points.
